Increasing Protein, or Decreasing Carbohydrate…Which Gives You a Metabolic Advantage?

The claim of a "metabolic advantage" of low-carbohydrate diets has been tossed around by a lot of people.  The idea is that, for a given calorie intake, a diet that gives a metabolic advantage will generate a greater calorie deficit (and hence greater weight loss) than a diet without this advantage.  Since there are studies showing greater short-term weight loss on low-carbohydrate diets versus high-carbohydrate diets for a given calorie intake, it has been suggested that low-carbohydrate diets provide a metabolic advantage over high-carb0hydrate diets.

However, low-carbohydrate diets are also usually high in protein.  It is well established that increasing dietary protein can increase the number of calories you burn for a given calorie intake.  Thus, we know that increasing dietary protein can provide a metabolic advantage.  But what about lowering carbohydrate, independent of protein intake?  I attempted to answer this question with a meta-analysis that I published back in 2006 (although the research was actually performed in 2004).  I concluded that a very low carbohydrate intake (low enough to cause ketosis) provided a metabolic advantage, independent of protein intake.  However, I now consider my study unreliable for answering this question, for reasons that I will address later in this article.

The best way to answer this question is through a carefully controlled study, where you manipulate protein and carbohydrate intake independently, and measure the number of calories burned under various combinations.  When I did my meta-analysis, no such study existed.  Fortunately, we now have a study where this has been done.

The Study Design

Researchers from the Netherlands looked at how the presence or absence of carbohydrate affected energy expenditure on a high protein diet.  The researchers recruited 45 men and women and divided them into 2 groups.  Each group received two different diets, separated by 4 weeks.  One group received a normal diet, and then a high protein diet with carbohydrate.  The other group received a normal diet, and then a high protein diet without carbohydrate.  The subjects were in energy balance, meaning they were eating just enough calories to maintain their body weight.  The diets were as follows:

The subjects ate these diets while staying in a respiration chamber for 36 hours.  The respiration chamber allowed for the continuous measurement of the number of calories burned.  To mimic the glycogen (a chain of carbohydrate stored in your muscles) depletion that exists on low-carbohydrate diets, group 2 did an exhaustive exercise test before each diet to burn up the glycogen stored in muscle tissue.  The researchers also determined the subjects' self-rated feelings of hunger and fullness.

"The Metabolic Advantage"...and The Winner Is...

The results of this study can be seen in this chart:

The researchers found that the high protein, moderate carbohydrate diet increased energy expenditure by about 4%.  This translated into an increase of about 96 calories per day.  This is in agreement with other studies showing a high protein diet to increase energy expenditure by anywhere from 81 calories per day to 90 calories per day.  Thus, we can say that a high protein diet will increase the number of calories you burn by 80 - 100 calories per day when compared to a normal protein diet, and definitely provides a metabolic advantage.

However, the zero-carbohydrate diet did not provide any further advantage over the high protein, moderate carbohydrate diet.  In fact, when the zero-carbohydrate, high protein diet was compared to the normal protein diet, the difference in energy expenditure was only 43 calories per day.  Thus, the high protein, moderate carbohydrate diet did slightly better.  Therefore, a low carbohydrate diet does not provide a metabolic advantage that is independent of the protein intake.

Appetite...and The Winner Is...

The results for hunger and fullness can be seen in this chart:

There was a significant decrease in hunger, and a significant increase in fullness when the subjects were on the high protein, moderate carbohydrate diet as compared to the normal diet.  This has been shown in many other studies.  This study further confirms that protein can help reduce your appetite.  In fact, in one study, a high protein, moderate carbohydrate diet caused a spontaneous reduction in food intake of 1,280 calories per day.

As you can see in the chart, while increased protein reduced appetite, the combination of high protein and no carbohydrate reduced appetite even further.  This means that a low-carbohydrate diet can provide an advantage in regards to reducing appetite that is independent of the protein intake.  Another study found similar results; in fact, that study found a spontaneous reduction in calorie intake of 294 calories per day over a high protein, moderate carbohydrate diet.  Thus, while low carbohydrate diets don't provide a "metabolic advantage" that is independent of protein intake, they do provide an "appetite advantage" that is independent of protein intake.  This appetite advantage is likely due to ketosis; one study showed that injection of ketones into the brain of rats caused a reduction in food intake.

Thus, the primary reason why low-carbohydrate diets tend to show superior weight loss in the short-term has nothing to do with a metabolic advantage, or an effect on insulin, or some other magical unknown effect.  It all has to do with appetite control.  When people consume a low-carbohydrate, high-protein diet, they are getting a "double-whammy" in regards to appetite regulation.  They're getting the dramatic benefit of increasing protein, and an additional (although smaller) benefit of a ketogenic diet.  The bottom line is that the people on these diets spontaneously eat less....A LOT less.

The Need for an Individualized Approach

One thing about studies in this area is that individual responses tend to vary dramatically.  For example, in one study I mentioned earlier, the responses between the low carbohydrate and moderate carbohydrate diets were highly variable, and there was considerable overlap.  Thus, while ketosis decreased appetite on average, it didn't help in every individual.  This is not surprising, as the control of appetite is a highly complicated, and is influenced by both your physiology, genetics, and psychology.  Thus, an effective dietary approach for one individual may not be effective for another; for example, one person may have outstanding results on a low-carbohydrate diet, while another person may do better with a more moderate approach, due to a variety of reasons.  This is why there is no "one-size-fits-all" dietary approach for everyone.  This is also evident when you peruse various internet message boards regarding various dietary philosophies.  You will find success stories and struggles with every approach.  Finally, it is evident when you look at the long-term clinical trials of various dietary approaches (including low-carbohydrate approaches), as the amount of weight regained and the failure rates tend to be high with all approaches.  Thus, there are no simple solutions to the problem of weight gain and obesity, as there are hundreds of variables all simultaneously interacting to produce the problem in the first place. 

A Note About Scientific Integrity

I mentioned earlier about how I now consider my 2006 meta-analysis conclusions to be unreliable.  The paper was a good paper for my knowledge level and the available data at the time.  However, science is always changing, as newer and more reliable data is collected, and as the knowledge base grows.  Any scientist with integrity should be willing to change his mind about an idea, if new information indicates that the old information may have been wrong.  I have learned much since the publication of that paper, and my new knowledge now tells me that the paper's conclusions were likely wrong.  Among the reasons why I now consider that paper unreliable:

  • I treated protein and carbohydrate as independent variables in my analysis.  However, because low carbohydrate diets are usually high in protein, the two are not truly independent.  This confounds the results of my analysis; regression analysis assumes that your predictor variables are independent of each other.  My analysis violates this assumption.
  • I incorporated many studies that involved self-report of food intake.  It is known that self-report of food intake is unreliable for determining calorie intakes in overweight people.  To try to reduce the effect of this problem, I only incorporated self-report studies that had an objective, biological marker that indicated diet compliance (such as urinary nitrogen excretion to estimate compliance with a high protein intake).  However, the problem with this is that none of these markers are objective markers of actual calorie intake.  Thus, calorie intake estimates could still be considerably off, even if there was evidence of compliance based on another marker.  This is a big problem if you're trying to determine if there's a metabolic advantage.  If a low-carbohydrate diet offers an additional advantage in regards to satiety, then there would be systematic underreporting among individuals on high carbohydrate diets.  This systematic underreporting would show up as a "metabolic advantage" in a meta-analysis.
  • I looked at body composition in this paper; however, if you've read my series on body fat testing, you now know that fat-free mass hydration and changes in body water can introduce significant error into measurements.  Because low carbohydrate diets have strong effects on body water, this would introduce systematic error when comparing body fat measurements between a low carbohydrate and high carbohydrate diet.

These flaws in my analysis, coupled with the new data from the well-controlled studies I discussed in this article, indicate that my conclusions were wrong.

The Bottom Line

The bottom line is that there is no metabolic advantage to a low carbohydrate intake that is independent of a high protein intake.  There is a metabolic advantage to a high protein diet, which will increase the calories you burn by 80-100 calories per day.  There is also a dramatic satiety advantage to a high protein intake.  A low carbohydrate intake (low enough to cause ketosis) can increase this satiety advantage, but individual responses will vary.  The best dietary approach for you will depend upon a variety of factors.

REFERENCE:  Veldhorst, M.A., et al.  Presence or absence of carbohydrates and the proportion of fat in a high-protein diet affect appetite suppression but not energy expenditure in normal-weight human subjects fed in energy balance.  Br. J. Nutr.  (Epub Ahead of Print)

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Erik Arnesen
13 years ago

Hi, James. Have you considered writing a letter to the AJCN about your second thoughts about your meta-analysis?

13 years ago

Hi James, forgive me if I missed you linking/referencing to this study, but it really smacked me n the head when I came across it, and I think the Metabolic Advantage and LC Superiority zealots should be humbled by these results. I think it also ties in with your post here:
A high-protein diet induces sustained reductions in appetite, ad libitum caloric intake, and body weight

Of particular interest is that the participants in this study were not aware they were in a weight loss study and even told not to expect to lose weight!

13 years ago

I see in the study that percentages were used and at maintenance calorie levels. What would constitute as “high protein” when eating in a deficit?

Jordan D.
13 years ago

Yeah, what’s up with that? I have zero interest in telling people what to do and how to live their lives. Of course, I’ll mention that a calorie deficit is necessary, but I’ve never, ever told someone to specifically follow *my* diet! I know that there are other ways to do it, and I’m not going to try to impose my way on anybody else. If someone wants to do LC, Paleo, vegetarian, vegan, or whatever, that’s their business. Ultimately, one needs a calorie deficit to lose weight, but there are many, many, many different ways of doing that. Moreover,… Read more »

13 years ago
Reply to  Jordan D.

“Moreover, there are factors other than weight loss that one may have to consider, and that can add another layer of complexity to it. There are issues like allergies, celiac disease, digestive issues, ethical concerns (like someone not wanting to eat meat because they don’t want to kill or mistreat animals,) financial concerns, etc. Those issues have nothing to do with weight loss, but they can still be crucial factors for certain people. So certain diets may not be feasible, or even possible, for a particular person because of one or more of those factors.” Thank you for mentioning this… Read more »

Jordan D.
13 years ago

Satiety is an interesting factor. If someone has a raging appetite, I can only assume that that would make it very difficult to adhere to a calorie deficit. Maybe that’s why I’ve been successful with a low-cal approach, with no focus on reducing carbs- or increasing protein, for that matter. I just haven’t had any issues with appetite/ hunger. My stomach will grumble a little bit here and there, but it’s minor and very manageable. So, for me, a high protein/ low carb diet (or should I say a specifically ketogenic diet?) to increase satiety hasn’t been necessary. So why… Read more »

Lucas Tafur
13 years ago

From the discussion: “It is impossible to determine whether the observed effects of the HP-0C diet are due to a lack of carbohydrates or to elevated fat levels. Because the maximal protein content in a high-protein diet in energy balance is limited(21), the proportion of fat in a high-protein, low-carbohydrate diet always will be relatively high. The observed effects may be due to the low carbohydrate content as well as the high fat content, promoting together with a relatively high protein content a high fat oxidation and elevated b-hydroxybutyrate concentration.” Also, note that the RQ was lower in the HP-0C… Read more »

13 years ago

James, Thank you so much for this site, and your critique of the low carb/high protein diets. I have long been a strong advocate of high protein diets and have embarked on my own weightloss journeys into the low carb/high protein land with both success and failure. I’ve tried South Beach, Atkins, and Nutri-System with some unfortunate side effects that made continuation impossible. I’ve have spent many years figthing the weight loss battle and losing, until recently. Surprisingly, Weight Watchers has been the path that works really well for me. I lost 5% of body weight in 3 weeks and… Read more »

Ken Leebow
13 years ago


Just curious: What if you add a high-fiber diet to your winner?

Ken Leebow

13 years ago

“individual responses tend to vary dramatically”

Biological individuality. It could well be the most overlooked and most relevant thing in nutrition science. Next only to scientific Integrity…

Excellent work! Thanks.

13 years ago


Great post! While reading the last section, it reminded me of one of my “intellectual” heroes: W.E.B DuBois, who lived long enough to write three autobiographies. In each one, except the first of course, he critiques all of his previously held philosophies, explains why he was wrong, and why he has changed positions. This is called intellectual honesty; the acquisition of knowledge is a constant process of reflecting on what you’ve previous learned or believed …

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